Ufc Fight Night 111 Odds

  

Mixed Martial Arts will heat up the UFC Apex on Saturday, Feb. 6, 2021 and Vegas Insider has all the Predictions, Odds and Preview for UFC Fight Night Alistair Overeem vs. Alexander Volkov. Cory Sandhagen (13-2-0) bounced back from his stunning first-round loss to Aljamain Sterling at UFC 250 with an impressive knockout win over Marlon Moraes at UFC Fight Night 179 in October. Sandhagen is now 8-1 over his last nine fights, including a 6-1 record in the UFC. Volkov has struggled to find his footing after bursting into the UFC in 2016. He had won four in a row but has been on a win-one, lose-one streak over his last four. Online sportsbook Bovada has released UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov odds. I projected this fight to end inside the distance nearly 88% of the time, and at implied odds of -710, there’s still betting slight value relative to listed odds at -500 (or 83.3%). However, I never lay that much vig, and when such a situation arises, I typically look to the Under 1.5 Rounds in the fight.

The UFC heavyweight division is mid-shuffle, determining the new pecking order among the top-ranked contenders as everyone waits for Jon Jones to confirm his heavyweight debut.

Last month it was Alexander Volkov jumping into the top five of the division, and now we have two more top contenders trying to maintain their spots in that group. The main event fighters are ranked close together, but the odds are as steeply contrasted as their fighting styles.

Prelims begin at 5 p.m. Saturday on ESPN+, and the main card starts at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill.

Heavyweight main event: No. 2 Curtis Blaydes (-420) vs. No. 4 Derrick Lewis (+335)

When odds were first released, Blaydes was a more reasonable sub-3-to-1 favorite. But steady action has pushed his price further and further. It's perhaps a little surprising to see such extreme odds in a heavyweight matchup, where any fighter is one strike away from unconsciousness. Certainly, Lewis has the 'puncher's chance.' But a look at the performance metrics support Blaydes as having advantages everywhere else.

Takedowns early and often have been a key part of Blaydes' normal game plan, and that should remain the case here. His striking was originally just a setup for his wrestling, though more recently he has shown that once he wears an opponent down, he can use his hands to finish a fight. Given Lewis' subpar wrestling, expect Blaydes to exploit that discrepancy out of the gates. And assuming he's successful, he should slow Lewis down and force him to drop hands as the fight wears on.

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But what about the power of Lewis? He obviously has heavy hands, though he's not particularly accurate when throwing them. And he averages about half the rate of strike attempts compared to Blaydes when at a distance. Lewis has the lowest volume of output on the feet of any established fighter on the card. So, this upset potential boils down being able to land a big clean shot when Blaydes is closing in and also how many times Lewis can force a position reset. Those fleeting moments will be his only chance, and could disappear altogether if he becomes exhausted on the mat.

Blaydes has faced plenty of stiff talent, including excellent power strikers. He knows how to stay out of danger and will commit to a dominant game plan. Eventually, he should find himself in a position to overwhelm a fatigued Lewis and get a finish.

E+ recommends: Money line play on Blaydes. Fight does not go the distance as a parlay leg. Blaydes inside the distance or by TKO will be the cheapest play for the matchup.

Best bets elsewhere on the card

The co-main event pits the sixth- and seventh-ranked women's bantamweights against each other. Both Ketlen Vieira (-270) and Yana Kunitskaya (+220) like to push the pace on the feet. But neither has scored a knockdown to date, and it's unlikely that either will get a big edge while trading at a distance. It's the closer positions that will decide things.

Kunitskaya spends a lot of time in the clinch and has owned positional control while there. If she can keep the fight on the fence, she'll get an edge. However, her takedown defense has been questionable so far. Meanwhile, Vieira has gotten the fight to the mat more often, and she has shown better control once there. She'll want to get this fight to the ground, and she'll have the advantage there.

E+ recommends: Money line play on Vieira.

Deep on the undercard, there's value lurking on an underdog. Luis Pena's (+155) performance metrics look better on paper than those of Drakkar Klose (-180) in nearly every way. Though Pena is still relatively new -- and he's stepping up in competition -- he's also still improving his game. His return has been dropping since opening, but there's still some value left on the 'dog here.

E+ recommends: Money line lean on Pena.

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UFC is back tonight with UFC 259 featuring Blachowicz vs. Adesanya and will be the third fight back in the 2021 season.

This will be one that you won’t want to miss, the UFC rarely disappoints and we have another one for UFC fans. We have an absolutely stacked card tonight and this should be a good one, below is everything you need to know to follow the action tonight!

UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya

Date: Saturday, March 6 Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas Prelims: 8:00 pm ET Main Card: 10:00 pm ET Live Stream: ESPN+ (stream the fight)

MAIN CARD (10 p.m. ET, ESPN+):

Ufc Fight Odds Vegas

Israel Adesanya vs. Jan Blachowicz, light heavyweight

Megan Anderson vs. Amanda Nunes, featherweight

Aljamain Sterling vs. Petr Yan, bantamweight

Islam Makhachev vs. Drew Dober, lightweight

Aleksandar Rakic vs. Thiago Santos, light heavyweight

Prelims (8 PM ET, ESPN+)

Rodolfo Viera vs. Anthony Hernandez Belal Muhammad vs. Dhiego Lima Polyana Viana vs. Mallory Martin Andre Ewell vs. Chris Gutierrez

UFC Odds and Betting Lines

UFC odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated last on Saturday at 4:40 p.m. ET

Want some action on the UFC? Place your legal sports bets on this game or others in CO, IN, NJ, and WV atBetMGM.

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Ufc Fight Night Betting Odds

ESPN is the exclusive destination for UFC and all of its pay-per-view events, meaning that you will have to have an ESPN+ subscription as well as purchase the PPV event. The fight alone is $64.99 but if you buy the Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+ bundle and the fight it costs $84.98, which is savings of over 25%.

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Ufc Fight Night 111 Odds

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