Easy Money Betting

  
  1. A vastly experienced gambler, well known in the betting and tipping world, Pete is a fierce defender of punters rights and constantly on the hunt for anything that can help Smart Betting Club members make more money betting. He likes nothing more than seeing punters taking on the bookies and winning!
  2. On any given day, you’ll find hundreds of betting lines across multiple sports. With so much variety, it’s easy to get sucked into making multiple bets on different teams. This is fine if you’re a casual bettor who has a big bankroll. But it doesn’t give you a true chance to learn everything you need to make an informed bet.

Making money on any type of gambling is not easy, but over the last 10 years, I’ve been able to consistently make money betting on MMA. Betting on MMA is a Rollercoaster full of the highest highs and the lowest lows, but by consistently putting our money in strong positions, we continue to grind out long term profits.

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MMA has been one of the fastest growing/most popular sports in the world for some time and (while the sport is cyclical at times) the overall “staying power” of the sport is far from diminishing. With that in mind, fans who want to be more want to become bettors – and bettors want to cash in.

However, if you are new to the wide world of gambling, you may be asking? What types of wages do I look for in MMA and, more importantly, how do I avoid losing money? Fear not, friend! We have the answers you seek. Just have a look at the list below!

Bet on the Money Line or Bout

This is probably the best place to begin and easiest bet to make because what makes these bets easy for the new bettor is the little amount of work that goes into making a bet on a full fight. You just have to pick who is going to win a given contest outright.

However, it would be beneficial to those new bettors out there that are specifically betting on UFC fights to look at the fighters records on Sherdog.com or the UFC-partnered FightMetric, LLC to see how many strikes a given fighter throws or what their submission game is like. These bets are also simple because they tend to favor fighters on winning streaks (obviously.)

When “Rowdy” Ronda Rousey was in her prime, she was 12-0 with almost every finish coming by way of submission due to her trademark armbar and a significant portion of those victories came in the opening five minutes. This led to her having a career fight time of just over 27 minutes prior to her first loss at UFC 193, a career fight time that was just over the length of one full title fight (5 rounds, 25 minutes total.)

This made her a safe bet for much of her career.

Place an Over/Under Bet

In combat sports, over/under betting refers to the length of time that a particular fight will go, specifically the number of rounds (up to five in a UFC title fight or main event, see above. This bet is also good for newbie bettors because the end result doesn’t matter, your only concern is did your fighter beat the clock?

Examples of a fight that might be safe to place an over/under bet on would be a Demetrious “Mighty Mouse” Johnson or Joanna Jedrzejczyk title fight. The two have more tactical styles than other fighters (Johnson has 11 wins by way of decision with his Polish counterpart having nine. Specifically, her last four consecutive bouts have gone the distance.)

It’s not that they prefer to be more evasive (it might look that way,) it’s just that the name of the game in any sector of combat sports is to hit and not get hit and the two use their speed to their advantage, letting the damage build up over time.

Jedrzejczyk is a stand-up fighter who lands 6.87 significant (fight-altering) strikes per minute with an accuracy rate of 50 percent. She absorbs just 2.43 significant strikes per minute, defending against them 68 percent of the time.

Johnson, also more of a striker than anything else, connects with 3.49 significant strikes in 60 seconds with 53 percent accuracy while only taking 1.71 returning shots in the same amount of time and defending against strikes 67 percent of the time. Although this approach is considered boring by some fans, it makes for another safe bet on your part.

Warning: Most bets like this will be odd-numbered such as “under 2.5 rounds) in order for sportsbooks to avoid “pushes” or ties, similar to a push in blackjack. Just be aware.

Make a “Method of Victory” Bet

This is again a case of simply examining tendencies. Rousey would be an obvious pick for a submission win just as Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (17-1-0, 1 No Contest overall in MMA, 2-0 in the UFC) is always the favorite to score a knockout victory as 15 of her fights have ended in such a fashion.

Although, it also helps to know that you will see more UFC fights end by way of a decision than in any other noteworthy promotion in the sport and you can have a better guess during which fights that might occur courtesy of this breakdown by weight class.

Per BetMMA.tips at the time of this writing (June 28,) you are most likely to see fights go to the judges in the 115-pound to 155-pound weight classes (women’s strawweight to the male-only lightweight.)

Tip: How to Spot an Upset

Never forget to expect the unexpected. Holly “The Preacher’s Daughter” Holm KO/TKO win over Rousey at UFC 193 didn’t come simply because Holm landed a head kick at the right time. She won because everyone knew Rousey’s one-dimensional game-plan ahead of the fight: get in close, strike if necessary, force a clinch, use the clinch to set up a judo throw, use the throw to lead to the armbar submission win.

Holm then lost to Miesha “Cupcake” Tate (a wrestler) in her first defense of the UFC women’s bantamweight (135-pound) championship because she still has no real ground game. Conor McGregor is coached by a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu world champion in Dillon Danis, yet each of his three career defeats (one in the UFC) are through submissions. This is MIXED martial arts, never forget that just because one method seems like a sure thing, especially if you are betting on a style vs. style bout.

Bet on Proposition Lines

For some, prop lines can be pure fun to bet on because there are so many things that can be bet on in this particular area of gambling as a whole. You can bet on if the fight will win the UFC-specific KO, Submission, or Fight of the Night awards and come out the winner of that fight regardless of who the actual winner is.

Sometimes a bet doesn’t even have to revolve around the fight itself (such as a bet on whether or not Johny “Bigg Rigg” Hendricks will miss weight he has missed weight three times now, including his most recent at UFC Fight Night 112.) Additionally, you can have multiple prop bets on one fight.

For new bettors, the best approach may be to take bets that are more of a sure thing and let those profits build up over time, because you will lose. That is bound to happen and underdog bets are supposed to be more tantalizing so that you place big money on them and then the house (a sportsbook, Vegas, etc…) wins big. The exception to the rule would be UFC 193 for those that noticed the trend and bet on Holm.

In short, just be responsible with your money. Do yourself that favor by doing your research. Hopefully, the above post helps out!

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If you want to know how to make money sports betting, you’re probably already a sports fan.

I have bad news for you – most sports fans lose money sports betting.

That’s because they have biases and prejudices toward and against teams that wouldn’t exist if they weren’t fans.

In other words, it’s hard to make money sports betting unless you’re objective about the teams’ odds.

But if you’re a fan who can set aside these notions, you can probably win money sports betting.

This post introduces some ideas you need familiarize yourself with to pull off this feat:

You Must Understand Some Math to Make Money Sports Betting

To break even as a sports bettor, you need to win 52.4% of your bets.

To win money as a sports bettor, you need to win MORE than 52.4% of your bets.

Some people might be confused by that, thinking that if they win 50% of their bets, they should break even.

And anything above a 50% win ratio should result in profits, right?

Wrong.

While it’s true that most bets have a 50% probability of winning based on the point spread, the bookmakers make you wager $110 to win $100. (You’ll sometimes run into books which want you to risk $120 to win $100, and you’ll also find some that want you to risk $105 to win $100.)

If you’re losing half the time, but you’re losing more money than you’re winning the other half of the time, you’re going to lose money in the long run.

Imagine if you place 2 bets, winning one and losing the other.

You win $100 on the bet you won, but you lose $110 on the bet you lose, which leads to a net loss of $10.

And that’s just the beginning of the math you need to understand to make money sports betting.

More about Sports Betting Math

Let’s look at a more detailed example, just to give you a clearer idea of what I’m talking about when I say you need to understand the math behind sports betting.

You go to your favorite bookmaker’s website, or visit the book at your favorite online casino, and you see the following posted:

Buffalo Bills -3
New Orleans Saints +3

The team with the – sign next to it is the favorite. To determine the winner of that bet, you subtract 3 from their score before comparing it with the other team’s score.

The team with the + sign next to it is the dog. You get to add 3 to the team’s final score for determining which team wins.

In either case, when it’s not listed, you’re expected to wager $110 to win $100.

Those point spreads are also called the lines.

The book creates the line so that they don’t get an overwhelming loss when the favorite beats the dog. If there weren’t a line, everyone would bet the favorite and win most of the time.

The point spread creates a situation where you (theoretically) have a 50% probability of winning.

The lines are set by the handicappers working for the bookmaker. And for the most part, they’re good at their job.

The lines aren’t always right, though, and when they’re wrong, you can profit.

How to Use Moving Lines to Track Sharp Action

A “sharp” is an educated, winning sports bettor. Sharps generally bet large enough amounts of money that bookmakers will adjust the point spreads (“lines”) to stimulate action on the other side. If you watch how the lines move, you can track the sharp action and make betting decisions based on what the sharps are doing.

One thing to look for is called “reverse line movement.” That’s just a fancy way of describing when the line moves away from the side with more money bet on it – the popular side.

That’s easy enough to do – find a line that moves from +7 to +6, for example, then look at how many people are betting that side of the match.

Now you know which side the book is trying to stimulate action for.

Combine this with shopping lines from one bookmaker to another, and you have a powerful tool for placing bets with a positive expectation.

Be a Contrarian

You can find plenty of websites that estimate what percentage of the action is on one side or the other of a sporting event. For example, you might find a football game where 70% of the public is betting on one side, and 30% of the public is betting on the other side.

If you bet with the 30% rather than with the 70%, you’re being a contrarian – you’re betting the other side of the event from what most people are.

The good news is that being a contrarian usually means betting the underdog. People generally prefer to bet on favorites than underdogs.

I like to root on underdogs, but as it turns out, betting on an underdog to cover results in a higher percentage of bets won than betting on the favorite.

It won’t result in a high enough percentage to make you profitable in the long run, though – you’ll still need to pick and choose.

But betting underdogs is a great starting point for a winning sports betting strategy.

Manage Your Bankroll Appropriately

You might have heard the expression “on any given Sunday.” This refers to the possibility of an upset in pro football – on any given Sunday, any team can win, regardless of what people might think.

This means that no matter how confident you are in your bets you still might lose.

And, in the short run, you might lose a higher percentage of bets than you expect.

What does this mean in terms of managing your bankroll?

It means that you shouldn’t have too much of your bankroll in action on any given bet.

Easy Money Betting

For example, suppose you’ve found a bet that you’re confident has a 65% probability of being a winning bet. That’s a stellar percentage; if you won 65% of your bets in the long run, you’d be breathing rarefied air. You’d be the Warren Buffett of sports betting, in fact.

But if you have a bankroll of $10,000 and wager all of it on that one match, you have a 35% probability of losing your entire bankroll.

This means starting over and building a new bankroll, which takes time.

BettingEasy money betting odds

And when it comes to winning at sports betting, time is money.

You’ll see varying estimates of how much of your bankroll you should risk on any single bet.

Your tolerance for risk should determine your bet sizing, but 1% to 5% of your bankroll is a good guideline to follow.

If you have a low tolerance for risk, bet 1% of your bankroll on each bet. With a $10,000 bankroll, this means limiting the size of an individual bet to $100.

If your tolerance for risk is high, bet up to 5% of your bankroll on each bet. With that $10,000 bankroll, you’d limit the size of your bets to $500.

You can adjust those bet sizes based on your confidence level in your picks.

If you’re sure about a bet, you might wager $200 or $300 (2% or 3%) on it even if you’re risk averse.

Limiting the size of your bets prevents a series of upsets or a run of bad luck from running you out of the hobby.

Don’t Buy Picks

Here’s the problem with buying sports picks:

The people selling these picks are usually no better at picking winners than you are.

Companies that sell sports betting picks are called tout services. They have an interesting history.

I have a friend who worked for a tout service in Las Vegas back when they still used call centers and 900 numbers to sell their picks. He explained to me one of their strategies with their customers, which I’ll share with you below:

In a room full of touts over the phone, half the room would sell picks on one side of a game.

The other half would sell picks on the other side of the game.

This would result in half their customers winning each week, while half their customers would lose.

If any of the losers called to complain – and they often did – they’d give them a free pick on the Monday night football game.

And they’d follow the same strategy – give half the losers one side while giving the other half the other side.

Half their losers won their money back and became satisfied customers, buying more picks.

I also read a story in a book about gambling about a gentleman who started his own tout service via a 900 number, and he let his 5-year-old son make all his betting picks for him.

The kid got lucky and was right 60% of the time in his first season.

It was dumb luck, but if you’d used his service, you’d have showed a profit that season.

I saw a tout selling an entire season’s worth of picks for $3000.

What kind of winning percentage would you need to see to generate a positive ROI on that $3000?

That’s a sunk cost, so you’d need to win more than $3000 for that package to be a profitable deal.

You already need to win 52.4% of the time to break even, and you need to win 52.5% or more to be profitable.

If you make less than $3000 profit, you’re still losing money.

It’s hard to make money betting on sports when you have an upfront investment of $3000.

Sports Betting Money

Conclusion

What Is The Money Line In Betting

Yes, you can make money betting on sports. People do it every day.

Easy Money Betting Games

But it takes a smart approach, preferably a contrarian one. You need to thoroughly understand the math and manage your bankroll appropriately.

Make Easy Money Betting

Most importantly, you should avoid buying sports picks from experts who might not really even be experts.